MOVEMENT OF HGH-PRESSURESYSTEMSIn general, the methods for extrapolation oflow-pressure areas are applicable to the movement ofhigh-pressure areas.The following are general considerations inforecasting the movement of high-pressure systems:. A surface high, or that portion situated under ablocking high aloft, remains very nearly stationary.. A high situated under or very near a jetstream issteered by the current aloft.l Cold, shallow highs are steered more easily thanthe larger ones. The Canadian and Siberian highs movelittle when there is no jet max in their vicinity or abovethem, and they move rapidly when the jet max is present.. Progressive warm highs move with a speedconsistent with that of the major ridges aloft.. With straight westerly currents aloft, surfacehighs are displaced equatorward.. Highs tend to move in the direction of, and withthe speed of, the isallobaric centers; however, this ruleis not very reliable because the isallobaric rises oftenfollow the low rather than lead the high.Steering is not used for high-pressure systems aswidely as for lows because high-pressure cells do nothave as great a vertical extent as low-pressure systems.However, steering seems to work about 75 percent ofthe time for cold highs.FORECASTING THE INTENSITY OFSURFACE PRESSURE SYSTEMSLEARNING OBJECTIVES: Forecast theintensity of surface low- and high-pressurecenters by using extrapolation, isallobaricindications, relation to frontal movement, aloftindications, weather type, and in relation tonormal storm tracks.The changes in intensity of pressure systems at thesurface are determined, to a large extent, by eventsoccurring above the system.EXTRAPOLATIONThe 3-hour pressure tendencies reported in asynoptic plot indicate the sum of the pressure changedue to movement of the system, plus that due todeepening and filling. If the exact amount of pressurechange due to movement could be determined, it couldbe assumed that the system would continue to deepenor fill at that rate. However, it is not normally prudentto assume that the current rate of change will continue,nor just how much of the pressure change is due tomovement.ISALLOBARIC INDICATIONSIsallobaric analyses at the surface show thefollowing relationships between the isallobars and thechange in intensity of pressure systems:. When the 3-hour pressure falls extend to the rearof the low, the low is deepening.l When the 3-hour pressure rises extend ahead ofthe low, the low tends to fill.. When the 3-hour pressure rises extend to the rearof the high or ridge, the high or ridge tends to fill.l Since low-pressure systems usually move in adirection parallel to the isobars in the warm sector, andsince the air mass in the warm sector is homogeneous,it is possible to assume that the pressure tendencies inthe warm sector are an indication of the deepening orfilling of the system. The effects of frontal passagesmust be removed. Therefore, if a low moves parallel towarm sector isobars, the 3-hour pressure tendency in thewarm sector is equal to the deepening or falling of thesystem.Remember that when you use the present 3-hourpressure tendency values for any of the above rules, theyarc merely an indication of what has been happening,and not necessarily what will be taking place in thefuture. Consequently, if you use the tendencies forindication of deepening or filling, you will need to studythe past trend of the tendencies.RELATIVE TO FRONTAL MOVEMENTWave cyclones form most readily on stationary orslow moving fronts. A preferred position is along adecelerating cold front in the region of greatestdeceleration. Normally, the 700-hPa winds are parallelto the front along this area.Under conditions characteristic of the easternPacific, a secondary wave cyclone may rapidly develop(fig. 3-7, step 1). As the secondary wave forms on the3-8
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